It is possible, I suppose, that deaths are not being reported. However that seems unlikely unless folks here can relay cases of deaths of people near to them in which death certificates were for some reason never filed.
If we assume that deaths are being reported, then we have 16% excess deaths for 2021, or just shy of 500,000 deaths above the expected number. See https://www.usmortality.com/excess-absolute
Some of those are covid deaths, many of which pre-date widespread vaccination (i.e. Jan-Feb. 2021) and certainly covid didn't stop causing deaths once vaccination ramped up. Some are also going to be deaths of despair, addiction, etc. as fallout from the societal disruptions that accompanied lockdowns, business closures, etc.
So far we are up 126,000 deaths (17% above expected) for 2022.
Even if we try to ascribe the entire excess death since widespread vaccination to the shots, we don't get to a million. And that would certainly be wrong. Some analysts like The Ethical Skeptic on Twitter have tried to use various statistics and metrics to estimate how much excess death can't be readily explained and could therefore be attributable to the vaccines. Those numbers tend to come in around the 150,000 range.
I can't explain the workforce numbers that Denninger is citing; however I am highly skeptical of interpreting anomalies in a rather opaque bureaucratic dataset as "obviously it means they died and their deaths weren't reported."
Deaths among younger adult age groups are up 40% according to insurance datasets, which is a big red flag. That said, it's an increase of a small number since younger folks tend not to die, and overall deaths are not up by that much.
Re: Dr Pantazatos: COVID injections killed between 150,000 to 180,000 Americans.
If we assume that deaths are being reported, then we have 16% excess deaths for 2021, or just shy of 500,000 deaths above the expected number. See https://www.usmortality.com/excess-absolute
Some of those are covid deaths, many of which pre-date widespread vaccination (i.e. Jan-Feb. 2021) and certainly covid didn't stop causing deaths once vaccination ramped up. Some are also going to be deaths of despair, addiction, etc. as fallout from the societal disruptions that accompanied lockdowns, business closures, etc.
So far we are up 126,000 deaths (17% above expected) for 2022.
Even if we try to ascribe the entire excess death since widespread vaccination to the shots, we don't get to a million. And that would certainly be wrong. Some analysts like The Ethical Skeptic on Twitter have tried to use various statistics and metrics to estimate how much excess death can't be readily explained and could therefore be attributable to the vaccines. Those numbers tend to come in around the 150,000 range.
I can't explain the workforce numbers that Denninger is citing; however I am highly skeptical of interpreting anomalies in a rather opaque bureaucratic dataset as "obviously it means they died and their deaths weren't reported."
Deaths among younger adult age groups are up 40% according to insurance datasets, which is a big red flag. That said, it's an increase of a small number since younger folks tend not to die, and overall deaths are not up by that much.
Mark L